Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.496421 0.569056 0.647874 0.739659 0.843508 0.957263 1.091211
2025-02-23 0.376941 0.473122 0.586418 0.729321 0.904333 1.111235 1.373920
2025-03-02 0.293142 0.400335 0.536552 0.721394 0.964597 1.272463 1.690362
2025-03-09 0.237539 0.350922 0.505484 0.729762 1.044718 1.468715 2.079660
2025-03-16 0.190508 0.303157 0.467197 0.720585 1.098500 1.636757 2.455629
2025-03-23 0.160906 0.274260 0.449650 0.736468 1.188182 1.864945 2.945618
2025-03-30 0.132437 0.241137 0.419362 0.727019 1.237041 2.038176 3.376337
2025-04-06 0.113717 0.220153 0.404275 0.738303 1.318551 2.269911 3.924765
2025-04-13 0.093932 0.193168 0.374083 0.718549 1.344593 2.414180 4.348209
2025-04-20 0.083784 0.181974 0.369647 0.742785 1.448765 2.699666 5.040075
2025-04-27 0.075777 0.173325 0.368268 0.771918 1.564808 3.017988 5.823951
2025-05-04 0.066733 0.160671 0.356833 0.779511 1.640728 3.271799 6.518793
2025-05-11 0.058044 0.147211 0.341865 0.778417 1.701033 3.506371 7.210530
2025-05-18 0.050802 0.135554 0.328721 0.779018 1.764741 3.754757 7.957150
2025-05-25 0.044521 0.124857 0.315826 0.778039 1.824814 4.002544 8.730066
2025-06-01 0.040066 0.117784 0.310011 0.791957 1.918612 4.328946 9.697023
2025-06-08 0.035050 0.108122 0.296300 0.785237 1.965377 4.561945 10.494707
2025-06-15 0.032026 0.103262 0.293621 0.804572 2.074155 4.939225 11.638171
2025-06-22 0.028098 0.094908 0.280464 0.795673 2.114906 5.170943 12.487992
2025-06-29 0.025577 0.090192 0.276166 0.808854 2.210899 5.537194 13.675029
2025-07-06 0.022127 0.081737 0.260007 0.787909 2.218705 5.700301 14.414896
2025-07-13 0.020680 0.079491 0.261202 0.814711 2.352551 6.175316 15.929228
2025-07-20 0.019505 0.077903 0.264081 0.846733 2.504244 6.708898 17.634177